Analytics
Yes is at 22.5%, down 5.5 points from 28% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
The high was 36% on 5 Sep 2026 and the low 19% on 14 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 26%; a month ago, 27%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 22% on 23 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “When will Ethereum hit $6k?”.
$4.51 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.22K since listing. The order book holds $12.67K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 56 trades, $158.38 bought Yes and $707.39 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Vagabund97 with 172 shares; the largest No position is Liquidifier with 453. Ten wallets hold 95.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 17, 11:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 59 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 28.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Liquidifier | No | 453.43 |
| Vagabund97 | Yes | 172.01 |
| fxbryt | Yes | 165.55 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $6,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-ethereum-hit-6k
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 127.75 |
| DegenerateJanet | No | 108.47 |
| SulkingCrypto | Yes | 100 |
| testuser0 | Yes | 59.04 |
| Majas | Yes | 53.99 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 35 |
| paddapadda | No | 25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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