Analytics
Yes is at 3.6%, down 1.1 points from 4.8% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
The high was 6% on 26 Aug 2026 and the low 2.9% on 29 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.1%; a month ago, 5.1%.
It is one of 5 markets under “When will Ethereum hit $6k?”.
$221.64 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.06K since listing. The order book holds $25.01K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 30 trades, $74.97 bought Yes and $865.21 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 2K shares; the largest No position is Jfownsk with 2.1K. Ten wallets hold 89% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 9:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 50 points · 21 Aug 2026 – 8 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 4.8% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 3.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jfownsk | No | 2.08K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 1.98K |
| LaarsY | No | 500 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $6,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-ethereum-hit-6k
| Swift Falcon FD42 |
| Yes |
| 481 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 300 |
| DFV2 | No | 159.83 |
| datamint | No | 159.65 |
| oegdatam | No | 159.64 |
| AJSV | Yes | 107.89 |
| dwaaa | Yes | 99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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