Analytics
Yes is at 31%, down 22 points from 52.5% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
Across the 68 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 70.5% on 26 Aug 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 33%; a month before, 45.5%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 70.5% on 26 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “When will Ethereum hit $4k?”.
$18.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $19.24K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 142 trades, $2.52K bought Yes and $6K bought No; the largest was a $1.92K buy of No at 64.0¢.
The largest Yes position is getbipped with 13.3K shares; the largest No position is herbertdudu with 13.4K. Ten wallets hold 98.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Oct 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 52.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 31.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| herbertdudu | No | 13.41K |
| getbipped | Yes | 13.34K |
| herbertdu | No | 1.08K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $4,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-ethereum-hit-4k
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 410.62 |
| Anchored-Leaf | Yes | 181.82 |
| Glossy-Revival | Yes | 104.28 |
| trad97 | Yes | 92.71 |
| Shabby-Era | Yes | 44.44 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 40 |
| SPDuck | No | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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