Will ETH/BTC hit 0.03 before October?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jul 18, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$17.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 18, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price Ethereum Price

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 18 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 8 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2025 to 18 Jul 2025, the highest close was 88% on 18 Jul 2025 and the lowest 41.5% on 8 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 81.5% on 17 Jul 2025. $17.22K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 8:35 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 8 Jul 2025 – 18 Jul 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Jul 2025	41.5%
18 Jul 2025	88.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	667
marinini	No	249.48
sidzler	No	50
PargeLenis	No	12.07

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/BTC between July 7, 2025, 14:00 and September 30, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value of 0.03000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/BTC "High" values available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_BTC, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Binance ETH/BTC trading pair. Values from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.