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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 3.85K | $0.004 | $15.1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 136.27 |
| $0.253 |
| $34.5 |
| Nov 18, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 19?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.583 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.300 | $0.62 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?Yes | sell | 2.12 | $0.006 | $0.01 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 13.81 | $0.032 | $0.44 | Oct 27, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.280 | $0.59 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.080 | $0.26 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Polish snap election called in 2025?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.952 | $1.1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.930 | $1.08 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Iran nuclear test in 2025?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.950 | $1.04 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 1.68 | $0.412 | $0.69 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.984 | $1.06 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?100k | buy | 17.72 | $0.056 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will ETH/BTC hit 0.03 before October?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Netanyahu out by 2025?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.620 | $0.98 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.870 | $0.99 | Jul 9, 2025 |
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Spain snap election called in 2025?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.620 | $0.98 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.975 | $1.02 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Israeli parliament dissolved before August?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.958 | $1.03 | Jul 9, 2025 |
North Korea missile test by July 15?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.910 | $1.06 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.850 | $1.11 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 1.6 | $0.755 | $1.21 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.277 | $1.39 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.400 | $5.4 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.622 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.199 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Lula da Silva in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Netanyahu out by 2025?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |