Analytics
Yes is at 36%, up 13 points from 22.5% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 22.5% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 36.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 42.5% on 17 Oct 2026.
It is one of 18 markets under “Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations”.
$4.25K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.61K, with a 38.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 75 trades, $490.16 bought Yes and $1.06K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 467 shares; the largest No position is ZhouCD with 300.
Trading closes on 15 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 36.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 467.04 |
| ZhouCD | No | 300 |
| sweetj | No | 200 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2027-best-original-screenplay-nominations-20261013180153422
6 more markets, none above 4.1%.
| GuyFromTinder |
| Yes |
| 97.02 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 87.37 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 63.84 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 39.32 |
| Carabao | No | 10.5 |
| leurop0 | Yes | 8 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | Yes | 1.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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