Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 29% on 27 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 66 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 1 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 29% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 12% on 28 May 2026. $14.29K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 10:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 27 May 2026 – 1 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 29.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GabiAnt95 | Yes | 111.77 |
| Scaly-Arena | Yes | 100 |
| Rokokoraccoon | Yes | 100 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if https://x.com/elonmusk posts the listed term by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: H@perl1quid, for "Hyperliquid") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: Hyperliquidd or Hyperliqid, for "Hyperliquid"), will not count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the listed term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). Posts published from https://x.com/elonmusk during a period in which the account is verifiably compromised or hacked, as confirmed by Elon Musk or X, do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: https://x.com/elonmusk Please note, only the https://x.com/elonmusk verified X account counts for this market. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-tweet-about-hyperliquid-by
| Courteous-Praise-Patio | Yes | 99.42 |
| qcp14 | Yes | 48 |
| hhth | Yes | 38.46 |
| Azure Scout 0ECD | Yes | 30 |
| crn1 | Yes | 15 |
| Itlliccaa | Yes | 8 |
| Cronnozzz | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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