Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 21 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 151 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32.5% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 10.5% on 6 Jun 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?”.
$4.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $400.39, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 97 trades, $148.72 bought Yes and $1.02K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 163 shares; the largest No position is MaxEnt with 550. Ten wallets hold 90.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 34 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 151 points, 27 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 25.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaxEnt | No | 550.01 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 162.86 |
| gheymanstanding | No | 111.11 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if https://x.com/elonmusk posts the listed term by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: H@perl1quid, for "Hyperliquid") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: Hyperliquidd or Hyperliqid, for "Hyperliquid"), will not count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the listed term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). Posts published from https://x.com/elonmusk during a period in which the account is verifiably compromised or hacked, as confirmed by Elon Musk or X, do not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: https://x.com/elonmusk Please note, only the https://x.com/elonmusk verified X account counts for this market. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-tweet-about-hyperliquid-by
| Lurki |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| SuSuDORIS | Yes | 100 |
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 82 |
| erenyeagr | Yes | 79.72 |
| homaki | No | 70.83 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 50 |
| yangzige | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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