Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.2%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 3 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2025 to 12 Mar 2025, the highest close was 25.5% on 17 Feb 2025 and the lowest 3.5% on 11 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 23% on 4 Feb 2025. $45.39K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 13, 12:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 3 Feb 2025 – 12 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2025 | 12.5% |
| 12 Mar 2025 | 3.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 36.89K |
| Theraflu93 | Yes | 3.99K |
| sharkies | Yes | 149.97 |
| gobles | Yes | 8.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the February data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111). The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The February release is presently scheduled for March 12, 2025. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/price-of-dozen-eggs-in-february
| humblePie | Yes | 4 |
| BigSmolE | No | 0.03 |
| akl-4ibm | No | 0.03 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.02 |
| epstes | No | 0.02 |
| blyagha | No | 0.01 |
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