Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 50% on 10 Aug 2026. $13.54K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 5:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 5.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 2.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KjerstinDellert | Yes | 2.25K |
| akko123 | Yes | 500 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 129.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Declan Rice officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-top-5-finish-2026
| Yes |
| 77.33 |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0. | Yes | 50.12 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 48.4 |
| smarterstrat | No | 0.01 |
| Venimous | No | 0.01 |
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