Analytics
Yes is at 16.4%, down 13 points from 29% when the market opened on 27 May 2026.
Across the 153 daily closes on record from 27 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.1% on 4 Jun 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 4 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.6%; a month before, 26.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 46.4% on 28 May 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Curvance launch a token by ___?”.
$12.25K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $660.03, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 158 trades, $523.76 bought Yes and $2.39K bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 258 shares; the largest No position is Beyonddream with 290. Ten wallets hold 82.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 153 points, 27 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 May 2026 | 29.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 16.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Beyonddream | No | 290 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 257.7 |
| Lakan | No | 117.05 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Curvance officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Curvance will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Curvance (https://x.com/curvance), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-curvance-launch-a-token-by
| cripes3 |
| Yes |
| 64.26 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 58.58 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 45 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 38.97 |
| Malganis | Yes | 33.97 |
| pppnn | Yes | 31.02 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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