Analytics
Yes is at 39%, up 2.5 points from 36.5% when the market opened on 6 Aug 2026.
Across the 82 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 11 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 53.5%; a month before, 44%. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 14% on 8 Aug 2026.
Cruz Pérez Cuéllar ranks second of the 16 outcomes in “Chihuahua Governor Election Winner”. Marco Bonilla Mendoza leads at 53.5%; Andrea Chávez Treviño is at 6%.
$70.2 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.43K since listing. The order book holds $662.08, with a 10.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 122 trades, $547.28 bought Yes and $543.24 bought No.
The largest Yes position is FrozenParasite with 508 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 603. Ten wallets hold 95.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 7 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 36.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 39.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 603.15 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 508.45 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 218.95 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chihuahua on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Chihuahua gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chihuahua and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Chihuahua and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/chihuahua-governor-election-winner-20260803170329
4 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Haradwaith | No | 138.54 |
| Elmazatleco | Yes | 47.62 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 40 |
| BirT-zx | Yes | 31.61 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 23.39 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 19.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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