Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 3.3% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 55 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 22 Sep 2026, the highest close was 26.4% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 1.8% on 2 Aug 2026. $1.2K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 23, 9:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 22 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 3.3% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 580.48 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 296.62 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 149.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the People's Assembly of Ingushetia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the People's Assembly of Ingushetia as a result of this election. The number of seats will include all members of the People's Assembly of Ingushetia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order. A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Ingushetia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Ingushetia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ingushetia-parliament-election-party-winner
| Yes |
| 135 |
| ACara | Yes | 100 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 21.7 |
| guo-rich | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| MidCtrl | Yes | 18.84 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 17.77 |
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