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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | $0.942 | $19.93 | +$1.09 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?Yes | sell | 3.07 | $0.001 | $0 | 29d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 20 |
| $0.810 |
| $18.8 |
| +$2.6 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.9%? | No | 14 | $0.870 | $13.93 | +$1.75 |
 Will RNI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.620 | $7.1 | -$5.3 |
 Will PAM get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.550 | $6.7 | -$4.3 |
 Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $6.6 | -$1.4 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.480 | $6.4 | -$3.2 |
 Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? | Yes | 9.78 | $0.360 | $5.86 | +$2.34 |
 Will Tremaine Edmunds finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions? | Yes | 20 | $0.430 | $4.81 | -$3.79 |
 Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election? | No | 20 | $0.440 | $4.3 | -$4.5 |
 Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 | Yes | 20 | $0.389 | $3.96 | -$3.82 |
 Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? | Yes | 20 | $0.340 | $3.8 | -$3 |
 Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | Yes | 20 | $0.597 | $3.79 | -$8.15 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 20 | $0.560 | $2.8 | -$8.4 |
 Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny before 2027? | No | 2.99 | $0.880 | $2.68 | +$0.04 |
 Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | No | 20 | $0.050 | $2.48 | +$1.48 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? | No | 20 | $0.430 | $2.2 | -$6.4 |
 Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 14.3 | $0.210 | $2.07 | -$0.93 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 20 | $0.590 | $2 | -$9.8 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | No | 20 | $0.270 | $1.9 | -$3.5 |
 Will NTE: Neverness to Everness win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 20 | $0.439 | $1.43 | -$7.35 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30? | Yes | 20 | $0.600 | $0.96 | -$11.04 |
 Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | Yes | 7.7 | $0.270 | $0.8 | -$1.27 |
 Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.057 | $0.77 | -$0.37 |
 Will Mouse: P.I. For Hire win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 20 | $0.080 | $0.68 | -$0.92 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.02 |
| 29d ago |
 Will "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" be the song of the summer?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | 29d ago |
 Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?No | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | 29d ago |
 Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?No | sell | 20 | $0.056 | $1.12 | 29d ago |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?No | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 29d ago |
 Will BNK FEARX Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 29d ago |
 Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.086 | $1.72 | 29d ago |
 Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?No | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 29d ago |
 Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | 29d ago |
 Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 29d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 29d ago |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 29d ago |
 Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 29d ago |
 Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2No | sell | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 29d ago |
 Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)Yes | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | 29d ago |
 Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | 29d ago |
| Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 29d ago |
 Will LDPR win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?No | sell | 1 | $0.014 | $0.01 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 22?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will "Ice Cream Man" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "Ice Cream Man" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?No | sell | 0.18 | $0.120 | $0.02 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 0.73 | $0.045 | $0.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 0.58 | $0.060 | $0.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Artyom Zotov win the 2026 Belgorod Oblast gubernatorial elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will "One Night Only" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will QHP win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Rodina win the next Pskov Oblast Parliament elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "One Night Only" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "Ice Cream Man" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will "Super Troopers 3" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 32.12 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 18.57 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Pavel Kulikov win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Rodina win the next Karelia Parliament elections?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.004 | $0.08 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "Ice Cream Man" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | sell | 11.03 | $0.010 | $0.11 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 12.1 | $0.013 | $0.16 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?No | sell | 20 | $0.009 | $0.18 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 20 | $0.009 | $0.18 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 0.54 | $0.360 | $0.19 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Eric J. Tatum win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.011 | $0.22 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 22?No | sell | 20 | $0.013 | $0.26 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?No | sell | 7.28 | $0.050 | $0.36 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?No | sell | 16.85 | $0.025 | $0.42 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 17.27 | $0.031 | $0.54 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |