Analytics
Yes is at 63.5%, up 14 points from 50% when the market opened on 30 Jul 2026.
Across the 89 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74.5% on 23 Sep 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 8 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 64%; a month before, 56.5%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 74.5% on 23 Sep 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will Axis launch a token by ___?”.
$105 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.17K since listing. The order book holds $398.62, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 59 trades, $449.36 bought Yes and $206.76 bought No.
The largest Yes position is yooo23782378 with 67 shares; the largest No position is Malganis with 80.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 63.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Malganis | No | 80 |
| yooo23782378 | Yes | 66.8 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 40 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Axis officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Axis after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Axis (https://x.com/AxisFDN), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-axis-launch-a-token-by-20260729144519159
| xtxpleasecallme |
| No |
| 30.14 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 30.02 |
| cloverpmq2 | Yes | 30 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 10 |
| Haradwaith | No | 7.24 |
| Empty-Annual | Yes | 2.52 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 2.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
