Analytics
Yes is at 36.5%, about where the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 36.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 29% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 29% on 20 Oct 2026.
0.2% is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “Core CPI MoM - October 2026”, ahead of 0.3% at 29.5%.
$211.11 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.67K since listing. The order book holds $992.6, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 55 trades, $359.67 bought Yes and $509.69 bought No.
The largest Yes position is podairpod with 343 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 446. Ten wallets hold 88.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 11 Nov 2026, 19 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 33.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 446.15 |
| podairpod | Yes | 343 |
| sbimbg | Yes | 240.7 |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in October 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-october-2026
| Antony82 |
| No |
| 132 |
| AJSV | Yes | 100.42 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 94.4 |
| galhammerman | No | 84.89 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 48 |
| leadernew | No | 44.45 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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