Question 1

What is the “Will Conservatives lead on April 4?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Conservatives lead on April 4? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 4, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($13.29K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 4 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Apr 5, 4:30 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-conservatives-lead-on-april-4) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.47K	0.0%	$0
Keen Summit 3949	Yes	900	0.2%	$900	Apr 3, 3:38 AM

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$2.47K
Keen Summit 3949	$0
azadam	$0
Siziriv	$0

Will Conservatives lead on April 4?

Liberal vs. Conservative polling margin Friday?

Questions about this market