Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 30% on 29 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 30% on 29 Mar 2025 and the low 0.5% on 4 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 17.5% on 30 Mar 2025. $7.19K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 5, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 29 Mar 2025 – 4 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | 30.0% |
| 4 Apr 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.47K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the CBCNews Polling Average margin between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, specifically the numbers indicated by the blue and red trend lines located on the line graph at https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada. Changes in the methodology by which CBCNews calculates its figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the CBCNews Polling Average margin data between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party is not available as of April 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, the last published data will be used. If CBCNews polling becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/liberal-vs-conservative-polling-margin-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page