Analytics
Yes is at 14%, down 35 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 74 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 31 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4% on 6 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%; a month before, 16.5%. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 4% on 6 Sep 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?”.
$91.29 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.13K since listing. The order book holds $205.24, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 90 trades, $219.3 bought Yes and $470.69 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 102 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 105.
Trading closes on 12 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 48.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 105.1 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 102.26 |
| Socialista | No | 80 |
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-who-will-conor-mcgregor-fight-next-20260810225625092
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| Yes |
| 57.63 |
| smartspec1 | Yes | 40 |
| cloverpmq2 | Yes | 32.43 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 20 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| Soulful-Remains-Chorus | No | 20 |
| pppnn | Yes | 19.6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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