Analytics
Yes is at 48.5%, down 20 points from 68.5% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 117 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 68.5% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 30 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49%; a month before, 50.5%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 27% on 29 Jun 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will Codex launch a token by ___?”.
$32.7 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.55K since listing. The order book holds $277.44, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 69 trades, $294.96 bought Yes and $231.28 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 207 shares; the largest No position is Viserys with 191. Ten wallets hold 91.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Oct 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 6:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 68.5% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 48.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Codex officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Codex will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Codex (https://x.com/CodexFX), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-codex-launch-a-token-by
| paghool |
| No |
| 47.7 |
| pppnn | No | 42.57 |
| Swift Oracle 744F | No | 35.09 |
| Coral Summit 331B | No | 21.64 |
| timeistmoney | Yes | 20.56 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 20 |
| tiongbu | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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