Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 6 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 6 May 2026 to 9 Jun 2026, the highest close was 94.5% on 9 Jun 2026 and the lowest 50.5% on 6 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 93.5% on 7 May 2026. $108.53K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 10, 6:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 6 May 2026 – 9 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2026 | 50.5% |
| 9 Jun 2026 | 94.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | No | 28.63K |
| Michajlowski | No | 1.98K |
| Grounded-Bottling | No | 598.1 |
| Bsau4 | No | 430.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. Claude 5 refers to a product explicitly named Claude 5 (e.g. Claude 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4, similar to the progression from Claude 2 to Claude 3. Products labeled as Claude 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/claude-5-released-by
| GUINESS123 | No | 387 |
| girl-200 | No | 249.99 |
| TuttyFruity | No | 138.99 |
| BASSATS01 | No | 125 |
| bjprolo | No | 101 |
| isauroai | No | 76.92 |
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