Analytics
Yes is at 3.5%, down 15 points from 18% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 8.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
Clarence Thomas ranks sixth of the 9 outcomes in “Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?”. Pete Hegseth leads at 44.5%; Nobody is at 23%.
$337.62 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.03K since listing. The order book holds $11.13K, with a 2.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 45 trades, $25.59 bought Yes and $544.74 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 362 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 542.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 542.46 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 362.28 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 59.3 |
This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this market will not be considered. In the event that articles of impeachment are passed against multiple listed individuals simultaneously, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual, among those with articles of impeachment passed against them, whose last name is first in alphabetical order. In the event that none of the listed individuals is impeached by the United States House of Representatives by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-people-will-be-impeached-first-by-the-end-of-2027
| jozeslemsek | Yes | 49.07 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 47.81 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 31.36 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| ramc2005 | Yes | 5.35 |
| Majas | Yes | 4 |
| UniLB | Yes | 3.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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