Analytics
Yes is at 44.5%, up 31 points from 14% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 14% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 43.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 43.5% on 21 Oct 2026.
Pete Hegseth is the favourite of the 9 outcomes in “Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?”, ahead of Nobody at 23.5%.
$408.04 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.76K since listing. The order book holds $25.07K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 64 trades, $355.28 bought Yes and $307.13 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Newshound with 414 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 542.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 14.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 44.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 542.46 |
| Newshound | Yes | 413.87 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 130.21 |
This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this market will not be considered. In the event that articles of impeachment are passed against multiple listed individuals simultaneously, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual, among those with articles of impeachment passed against them, whose last name is first in alphabetical order. In the event that none of the listed individuals is impeached by the United States House of Representatives by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-of-these-people-will-be-impeached-first-by-the-end-of-2027
| mini-man | Yes | 129.27 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 121.27 |
| 2B9S | No | 36.73 |
| Functional-Engineer | Yes | 30.73 |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | Yes | 30 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| LUCKYGAMMA | No | 19.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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