Analytics
Trading ended on 23 Sep 2026 with Yes at 1.6%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 90 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 37.5% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.9%; a month before, 3.9%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 16.5% on 8 Aug 2026.
It is one of 35 markets under “Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify”.
$781.09 has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 200 shares; the largest No position is stevemaster with 494.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 17.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
22 more markets, none above 3.4%.
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| stevemaster | No | 493.88 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 199.98 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 150 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nitto-atp-finals-player-to-qualify-20260728191143795
| peti1234 |
| Yes |
| 78.88 |
| Big-Hearted-Shaker | No | 59.99 |
| whispercatalyst | Yes | 50 |
| Juicy-Movie | Yes | 40 |
| smarterstrat-junior | Yes | 20 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 20 |
| Stolto | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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