Analytics
Trading ended on 28 Oct 2026 with Yes at 40%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 51 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8% on 15 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 42%; a month before, 36%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 40% on 7 Oct 2026.
Casey Farrell ranks second of the 4 outcomes in “Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner”. Michelle Dracoulis leads at 56.5%; Jess Burns is at 3.7%.
$3.42K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 168 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 381. Ten wallets hold 96.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 10:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 18.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 40.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 381.35 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 168.15 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 111.5 |
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/derwent-valley-mayoral-election-winner-2026
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 105 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 102.69 |
| Fluo | Yes | 80 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 39.71 |
| Tallguy2527 | Yes | 20 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 20 |
| a5533 | No | 19.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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