Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 100 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 60.5% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 13% on 30 Jun 2026. $3.65K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 100 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mefirofan | No | 199.99 |
| BuyerOfNo | No | 105 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 44.24 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Bybit 1-minute candle for Cap (CAP/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Bybit, specifically the CAP/USDT “High” and "Low" prices available at: https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/CAP/USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Bybit CAP/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-cap-hit-in-2026
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 40 |
| Gaujmalietis | No | 10 |
| Coral Beacon 7E5B | No | 6 |
| giochi | No | 1.19 |
| hitunfar | No | 0.17 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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