Analytics
Yes is at 9%, down 41 points from 50% when the market opened on 28 Jun 2026.
Across the 117 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 16%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 34.5% on 21 Jul 2026.
↓ $0.01 ranks fifth of the 5 outcomes in “What price will Cap hit in 2026?”. ↓ $0.03 leads at 51%; ↑ $0.15 is at 21%.
$3.41K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $303.13, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 691 shares; the largest No position is shangqian with 362. Ten wallets hold 94.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 7:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 28 Jun 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 26 Oct 2026 | 9.0% |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Bybit 1-minute candle for Cap (CAP/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Bybit, specifically the CAP/USDT “High” and "Low" prices available at: https://www.bybit.com/en/trade/spot/CAP/USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Bybit CAP/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-cap-hit-in-2026
| Rhabarberbarbarbar |
| No |
| 126.47 |
| BuyerOfNo | No | 110.01 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 80 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 77.01 |
| Silver Beacon EC11 | Yes | 48.85 |
| hopolopop | Yes | 29.99 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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