Analytics
Yes is at 1.3%, down 8.8 points from 10% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 15 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.1%. Its largest one-day move was 7.7 points down, to 2.4% on 14 Oct 2026.
Bruno Retailleau ranks eighth of the 16 outcomes in “French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place”. Jean-Luc Mélenchon leads at 39%; Édouard Philippe is at 27%.
$247.35 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.97K since listing. The order book holds $17.8K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 102 trades, $7.16 bought Yes and $2.22K bought No.
The largest Yes position is RaphCrypto with 1.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.5K.
Trading closes on 18 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 10.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.52K |
| RaphCrypto | Yes | 1.62K |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 454.07 |
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/french-presidential-election-first-round-2nd-place
4 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| TonnyPusher | Yes | 153.85 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 100.08 |
| cigarettes | No | 100 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 64.97 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 64.37 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| PPMT | Yes | 29.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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