Analytics
Yes is at 6.3%, about where the market opened on 24 Jan 2026.
Across the 272 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29.3% on 2 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 10 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.7%; a month before, 6.2%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 26.8% on 28 May 2026.
6.00-6.49% ranks third of the 10 outcomes in “Brazil Annual Inflation 2026”. 5.00-5.49% leads at 43%; 5.50-5.99% is at 39.7%.
$346.42 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.35K since listing. The order book holds $1.73K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 482 trades, $319.6 bought Yes and $5.51K bought No.
The largest Yes position is S4uron with 3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 7.3K. Ten wallets hold 87.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 13 Jan 2027, 77 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 272 points, 24 Jan 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | 6.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 6.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.26K |
| S4uron | Yes | 2.98K |
| Rods26 | Yes | 1.01K |
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report. The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brazil-annual-inflation-2026
| MFS-000 |
| Yes |
| 828.11 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 505.22 |
| dnaghsa | Yes | 494.85 |
| Musk5 | No | 387.02 |
| jozeslemsek | Yes | 268.71 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 225 |
| Insubstantial-Misunderstand | No | 209.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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