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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 883.27 | $0.852 | $861.19 | +$108.94 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?Yes | buy | 31.61 | $0.510 | $16.12 | 6h ago |
| Yes |
| 1.37K |
| $0.368 |
| $630.02 |
| +$124.72 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.458 | $452.02 | -$13.24 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | No | 298.38 | $0.523 | $192.45 | +$36.24 |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting? | Yes | 393.63 | $0.451 | $181.07 | +$3.38 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | No | 565.96 | $0.189 | $172.62 | +$65.7 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 381.9 | $0.390 | $160.4 | +$11.29 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | Yes | 672.17 | $0.202 | $120.65 | -$15.11 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | 265.32 | $0.409 | $114.22 | +$5.63 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 76.77 | $0.577 | $47.21 | +$2.95 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | Yes | 191.93 | $0.271 | $39.35 | -$12.59 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%? | Yes | 575.8 | $0.035 | $25.62 | +$5.62 |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the September meeting? | Yes | 28 | $0.733 | $15.68 | -$4.85 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | Yes | 240.24 | $0.062 | $11.53 | -$3.47 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 600 | $0.110 | $9.3 | -$56.7 |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 160 | $0.007 | $0.8 | -$0.32 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 160.06 | $0.594 | $0.56 | -$94.52 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%? | Yes | 82.61 | $0.085 | $0.33 | -$6.71 |
 Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 191.96 | $0.014 | $0.29 | -$2.4 |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes| buy |
| 80 |
| $0.431 |
| $34.48 |
| 21h ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.620 | $14.26 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.067 | $5 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?No | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?Yes | buy | 165.61 | $0.060 | $10 | 1d ago |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?No | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.340 | $13.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?No | buy | 42.99 | $0.330 | $14.19 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.399 | $39.9 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.399 | $39.9 | 1d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?No | buy | 37.62 | $0.740 | $27.84 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 382.24 | $0.007 | $2.68 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 737 | $0.460 | $339.02 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 367.93 | $0.450 | $165.57 | 5d ago |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.540 | $4.59 | 5d ago |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 5d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.5 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.150 | $11.25 | 5d ago |
| Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 12 | $0.550 | $6.6 | 5d ago |
 Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.228 | $4.56 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.420 | $4.2 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add at least 150k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 12.74 | $0.227 | $2.89 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.156 | $1.72 | 5d ago |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes | buy | 121.9 | $0.280 | $34.13 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 5d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes | buy | 50.03 | $0.250 | $12.51 | 5d ago |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?Yes | buy | 28.21 | $0.470 | $13.26 | 5d ago |
| Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?Yes | buy | 195.31 | $0.400 | $78.12 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.450 | $5.36 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.440 | $30.8 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.94 | $0.560 | $21.81 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | 6d ago |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | 6d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | buy | 20.1 | $0.440 | $8.84 | 6d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.430 | $22.36 | 6d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?No | buy | 9.38 | $0.470 | $4.41 | 6d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?No | buy | 30.43 | $0.430 | $13.08 | 6d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?No | buy | 137.82 | $0.420 | $57.88 | 6d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.420 | $252 | 7d ago |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?No | buy | 50 | $0.140 | $7 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.949 | $42.71 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 142.59 | $0.948 | $135.18 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.947 | $18.94 | 7d ago |