Analytics
Yes is at 27%, up 2.5 points from 24.5% when the market opened on 2 Apr 2026.
The high was 29.5% on 25 Jun 2026 and the low 4% on 11 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 11.5%; a month ago, 6%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 19.5% on 7 Oct 2026.
Brad Bradford ranks second of the 8 outcomes in “Toronto Mayoral Election Winner”. Olivia Chow leads at 72%; Ana Bailão is at 0.1%.
$17.76K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $99.98K since listing. The order book holds $82.64K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $10.85K bought Yes and $9.67K bought No; the largest was a $3.38K buy of Yes at 24.1¢.
The largest Yes position is SaylorMoon with 24.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 27.3K. Ten wallets hold 74.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 27 Oct 2026, 18 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 1:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 174 points · 2 Apr 2026 – 9 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Apr 2026 | 24.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 27.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 27.26K |
| SaylorMoon | Yes | 24.16K |
| Solar Oracle E319 | Yes | 6.32K |
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/toronto-mayoral-election-winner-545
| GrokEnjoyer | No | 5.55K |
| donthackme | No | 4.92K |
| Miinko1 | Yes | 4.01K |
| mrworldwide | Yes | 3K |
| KiernanMeister | Yes | 2.72K |
| Indigo Lynx 22A3 | No | 2.56K |
| GollumGekko | No | 2.5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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