Analytics
Yes is at 13.5%, up 4 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 15.5% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 3 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 15.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 18 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in November?”.
$32.88K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $65.32K since listing. The order book holds $68.95K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 188 trades, $3.43K bought Yes and $25.83K bought No; the largest was a $12.99K buy of No at 86.6¢.
The largest Yes position is AndreasSchm with 17.9K shares; the largest No position is floatingraft with 15K. Ten wallets hold 75.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 5%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 9.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 13.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AndreasSchm | Yes | 17.88K |
| floatingraft | No | 15K |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | Yes | 9.81K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2026
6 more markets, none above 5.5%.
| Impressive-Steak | No | 7.97K |
| caseyj | Yes | 3.89K |
| elreptil | No | 2.16K |
| Fantadong | No | 2K |
| Indelible-Roast | No | 1.98K |
| Serene-Decision | No | 1.77K |
| Rin2x | No | 1.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
