Analytics
Yes is at 82.5%, up 22 points from 60.5% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 82.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 60.5% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 72.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 15 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit October 26-November 1?”.
$12.32K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $21.15K since listing. The order book holds $39.61K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 190 trades, $7.26K bought Yes and $2.99K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Impressive-Steak with 6K shares; the largest No position is Egozic86 with 7.3K. Ten wallets hold 87.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 60.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 82.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Egozic86 | No | 7.32K |
| Impressive-Steak | Yes | 5.97K |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 2.97K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-october-26-november-1-2026
3 more markets, none above 0.5%.
| justdance |
| Yes |
| 2.7K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 2.01K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 895.4 |
| coinfilippe | No | 628.04 |
| Bertramds | No | 587 |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | No | 347 |
| BasilD | Yes | 313 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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