Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 39 points from 55.5% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 55.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18.5% on 28 Oct 2026. The current quote, 17%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 18.5% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 35.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 15 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit October 26-November 1?”.
$32.04K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $47.29K since listing. The order book holds $41.54K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 230 trades, $6.42K bought Yes and $13.67K bought No; the largest was a $4.11K buy of No at 74.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Well-To-Do-Sanctity with 14.3K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 14.4K. Ten wallets hold 90.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 18.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 14.38K |
| Well-To-Do-Sanctity | Yes | 14.28K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 4K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-october-26-november-1-2026
3 more markets, none above 0.7%.
| suntori | No | 2.95K |
| Tokor | No | 1.26K |
| coinfilippe | Yes | 1.26K |
| justdance | Yes | 1.08K |
| satoshiua | Yes | 1K |
| Ragged-Metaphor | No | 772.02 |
| gt197 | No | 748.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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