Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?

cryptoResolved

$80k, settled Apr 6, 2025 UTC

$80k

100.0%

$90k

0.0%

Final $80k 100¢Final $90k 0¢

Lifetime volume

$213.2K

Resolved

$80k

Settled

Apr 6, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved $80k on 6 Apr 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had $80k at 66%. The $80k side opened at 56% on 29 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 29 Mar 2025 to 6 Apr 2025, the highest close was 77.5% on 31 Mar 2025 and the lowest 50.5% on 2 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 50.5% on 2 Apr 2025. $213.21K traded over the market's life.

8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 7, 8:46 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the $80k price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Mar 2025 – 6 Apr 2025, chart shows 40%–90%

$80k price, first and latest
Observed	$80k price
29 Mar 2025	56.0%
6 Apr 2025	66.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
MarcoHodler	$90k	4.02K
ALI2099	$90k	380
chda	$90k	64.52
Fibonacci79	$90k	53.64

8 of 8 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market on whether Bitcoin ($BTC) will first reach $80,000.00 or $90,000.00 between March 28, 2025, 10:00 AM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "$80k" if $BTC drops to $80,000.00 or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "$90k" if $BTC reaches $90,000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $BTC neither drops to $80,000.00 or below nor reaches $90,000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.