Analytics
Resolved No on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 5 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 13.5% on 5 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.1 points down, to 5.4% on 6 May 2026. $93.32K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 3:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | 13.5% |
| 11 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qqqq88888 | Yes | 3.6K |
| GLITCH404 | Yes | 2.42K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 2K |
| mango0x | Yes | 1.68K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Bitcoin hit May 4-10?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-may-4-10
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| bukalapak | Yes | 1.51K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| yser6534 | Yes | 700 |
| noid2 | Yes | 500 |
| KOMZY | Yes | 500 |
| Cobalt Atlas 10F1 | Yes | 422.86 |
