Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 190.71 | $0.190 | $36.23 | May 31, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 27 |
| $0.340 |
| $9.18 |
| May 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.017 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?Yes | buy | 588.24 | $0.017 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?Yes | buy | 55.58 | $0.039 | $2.17 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?Yes | buy | 402.84 | $0.010 | $4.15 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.039 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 42.37 | $0.590 | $25 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 43.1 | $0.580 | $25 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.590 | $19.34 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.080 | $15 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 32.89 | $0.760 | $25 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 197 | $0.201 | $39.67 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 96.61 | $0.362 | $35 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.162 | $36.02 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes | buy | 20.8 | $0.460 | $9.57 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 66.18 | $0.680 | $45 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 70.42 | $0.710 | $50 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.270 | $60 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 183.1 | $0.710 | $130 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.450 | $45 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 234.38 | $0.640 | $150 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 194.44 | $0.360 | $70 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 61.54 | $0.650 | $40 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 209.64 | $0.549 | $115 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.386 | $115.69 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 27.92 | $0.530 | $14.8 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 17.51 | $0.850 | $14.88 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.396 | $12 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 19.49 | $0.229 | $4.46 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 45.45 | $0.440 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 46.15 | $0.650 | $30 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 166.38 | $0.270 | $45 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 75 | $0.600 | $45 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 65.71 | $0.350 | $23 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 116.26 | $0.301 | $35 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 48.15 | $0.582 | $28 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 36.57 | $0.760 | $27.79 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 57.14 | $0.490 | $28 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No | sell | 23.28 | $0.937 | $21.81 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 93.53 | $0.267 | $25 | Mar 18, 2026 |