Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 30 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 158 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2026 to 5 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 47.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 9% on 1 May 2026. $20.77K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 158 points, 30 Apr 2026 – 5 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | 47.5% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.42K |
| SECXXI | Yes | 1.99K |
| Cold-Helmet | Yes | 1.52K |
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/minas-gerais-governor-election-winner
| Richard.santos3 | Yes | 1K |
| UmbuzeirodoSertao | Yes | 799.99 |
| ACara | Yes | 583.52 |
| Drangtian | Yes | 499.99 |
| Athletic-Manager | Yes | 495.44 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 237.54 |
| YYV | Yes | 227.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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