Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 61 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 4 May 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 50% on 4 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 52.5% on 15 Feb 2026. $10.4K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 4:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 4 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 May 2026 | 99.8% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed group officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Songs released by individual members, subgroups, or any other configuration not under the listed group name will not qualify. If a song is released jointly by multiple groups credited equally as primary artists, the song will count for all of them. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or remixes will not count. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-kpop-groups-will-release-songs-in-2026
| ma99 | No | 100 |
| akunai | No | 67.77 |
| Ivory Signal 91B1 | No | 57.24 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| sder17 | No | 8.74 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | No | 5 |
| Lunar Orbit 7F61 | No | 1.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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