Analytics
Yes is at 5.9%, down 17 points from 23% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 325 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34.5% on 5 Apr 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 23 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7%; a month before, 4%. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 19.5% on 11 May 2026.
Avengers: Doomsday ranks second of the 14 outcomes in “Highest grossing movie in 2026?”. Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads at 93.5%; Wicked: For Good is at 0.1%.
$4.93K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.18M since listing. The order book holds $53.48K, with a 0.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2K bought Yes and $11.38K bought No; the largest was a $1.89K buy of No at 90.7¢.
The largest Yes position is xMAI with 59.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 230.9K. Ten wallets hold 61.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Jan 2027, 72 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 325 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 23.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 5.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 230.94K |
| xMAI | Yes | 59.34K |
| ImJustKenVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile |
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-grossing-movie-in-2026
2 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| No |
| 29.72K |
| Gambastylr | Yes | 19.64K |
| Ugly-Advertising | Yes | 18.26K |
| UkraineFisrt | Yes | 13.89K |
| holarat | Yes | 11.35K |
| Antique-Boysenberry | Yes | 9.91K |
| chriszyy3 | No | 8.63K |
| tonler | Yes | 6.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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