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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 202.51K | $0.981 | $201.6K | +$2.95K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.54K | $0.998 | $4.53K | Jul 31, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 48.92K |
| $0.935 |
| $46.99K |
| +$1.24K |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 46.52K | $0.925 | $45.98K | +$2.94K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 36.92K | $0.868 | $34.71K | +$2.64K |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 26.77K | $0.939 | $25.82K | +$693.01 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 17.17K | $0.930 | $16.73K | +$764.14 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 6.67K | $0.965 | $6.6K | +$169.98 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.67K | $0.977 | $6.5K | -$7.77 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 299.7 | $0.984 | $296.85 | +$1.95 |
| buy |
| 789.74 |
| $0.997 |
| $787.37 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?No | buy | 91 | $0.999 | $90.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 3.51K | $0.996 | $3.5K | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 46 | $0.985 | $45.31 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.989 | $6.51 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.990 | $1.34K | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | buy | 612.89 | $0.959 | $587.76 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 11.11K | $0.870 | $9.67K | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 11.11K | $0.870 | $9.67K | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No | buy | 7.64 | $0.966 | $7.38 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 382.55 | $0.860 | $328.99 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.870 | $8.7K | May 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.998 | $9.98K | May 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.999 | $9.99K | May 1, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30?No | buy | 600 | $0.999 | $599.4 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.06K | $0.998 | $2.05K | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.53K | $0.966 | $1.48K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.998 | $14.97K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 8?No | buy | 762.12 | $0.995 | $758.31 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 8?No | buy | 952.85 | $0.995 | $948.09 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.998 | $19.96K | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.998 | $19.96K | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.998 | $9.98K | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 6.09K | $0.997 | $6.07K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.11K | $0.993 | $11.03K | Apr 17, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?No | buy | 1.34K | $0.998 | $1.34K | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.991 | $2.2K | Apr 16, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No | buy | 2.92K | $0.996 | $2.91K | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 5.56K | $0.999 | $5.55K | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 8.89K | $0.987 | $8.77K | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.994 | $123.26 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 73.22 | $0.989 | $72.41 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 11?Yes | buy | 322 | $0.999 | $321.68 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.4K | $0.996 | $4.38K | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 111.57K | $0.998 | $111.35K | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 8.95K | $0.999 | $8.94K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 35.74K | $0.993 | $35.49K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.36K | $0.983 | $15.09K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.18K | $0.983 | $18.85K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 35.74K | $0.993 | $35.49K | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?Yes | buy | 2.84K | $0.997 | $2.83K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 23.83K | $0.993 | $23.66K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 31.77K | $0.993 | $31.55K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.997 | $139.58 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 42.36K | $0.993 | $42.06K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 5.43K | $0.997 | $5.41K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 4.54K | $0.996 | $4.52K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 10K | $0.993 | $9.93K | Apr 8, 2026 |