Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 13 points from 13% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 325 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 13% on 13 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 1.6% on 14 Nov 2025.
Project Hail Mary ranks 12th of the 14 outcomes in “Highest grossing movie in 2026?”. Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads at 91.5%; Avengers: Doomsday is at 7%.
$1.43M traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $211.01K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1 bought Yes and $3.64K bought No.
The largest Yes position is JustCrazy with 73.7K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 231.8K. Ten wallets hold 85.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Jan 2027, 70 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 325 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 13.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 231.78K |
| JustCrazy | Yes | 73.72K |
| betterfasterstronger | Yes | 22.04K |
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/highest-grossing-movie-in-2026
2 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| LeTmean | Yes | 19K |
| alwayslatetotheparty | Yes | 12.66K |
| pregamee | Yes | 10.37K |
| polmar001 | Yes | 10K |
| pleasedontstopthemusic | Yes | 7.5K |
| Acjay | Yes | 6.02K |
| six-one | Yes | 4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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