Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 4.1 points from 8.5% when the market opened on 22 Jul 2026.
Across the 97 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9% on 23 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 18 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.9%; a month before, 3%. Its largest one-day move was 5.4 points down, to 1.4% on 18 Sep 2026.
$12 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.49K since listing. The order book holds $2.81K, with a 1.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 89 trades, $153.65 bought Yes and $1.55K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Spectrum with 366 shares; the largest No position is Crimson Scout DF5C with 306. Ten wallets hold 80.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 18 Dec 2026, 51 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 97 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 8.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spectrum | Yes | 365.6 |
| Crimson Scout DF5C | No | 306.29 |
| thursdays | Yes | 299.43 |
Avengers: Doomsday is expected to be released on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof. Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-avengers-doomsday-be-delayed-20260720163143089
| QMG-CORE |
| No |
| 290.3 |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 245.16 |
| Awestin.eth | No | 213.99 |
| runnin | No | 210.48 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 137.45 |
| cfkwong888 | Yes | 125 |
| georgebrownxx | Yes | 103.1 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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