Analytics
Yes is at 53.5%, up 4 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 26 Aug 2026.
Across the 61 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 30 Aug 2026 and the lowest 19% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 39%; a month before, 65%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 73% on 30 Aug 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “What price will Avalanche hit in 2026?”.
$698.07 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $119.38, with a 39.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 36 trades, $96.98 bought Yes and $222.2 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 149 shares; the largest No position is yurbar1 with 150.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 53.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| yurbar1 | No | 150 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 148.52 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 68.3 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Avalanche (AVAX/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the AVAX/USDT “High” and "Low" prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/AVAX_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance AVAX/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-avalanche-hit-before-2027
| Vagabund97 |
| Yes |
| 67.06 |
| Carabao | No | 60 |
| marcopolosrhino | No | 38.46 |
| papakilofoxtrot | No | 20 |
| pppnn | Yes | 14.33 |
| cloverpmq2 | No | 11.76 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 10.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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