Analytics
Yes is at 55%, up 4.5 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 26 Aug 2026.
The high was 74% on 23 Sep 2026 and the low 8.5% on 18 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 39.5%; a month ago, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 67% on 21 Sep 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “What price will Avalanche hit in 2026?”.
$206.51 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.86K since listing. The order book holds $194.32, with a 30.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 70 trades, $134.34 bought Yes and $432.55 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Rasul05 with 310 shares; the largest No position is alanhutton with 333. Ten wallets hold 96% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 8, 7:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 45 points · 26 Aug 2026 – 8 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 43.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alanhutton | No | 332.99 |
| Rasul05 | Yes | 310 |
| MaxEnt | No | 79.43 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Avalanche (AVAX/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the AVAX/USDT “High” and "Low" prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/AVAX_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance AVAX/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-avalanche-hit-before-2027
| AJSV |
| Yes |
| 62.37 |
| bigticketchicken | Yes | 46 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | No | 43 |
| arishone | Yes | 40 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 40 |
| SPDuck | No | 40 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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