Analytics
Trading ended on 14 Sep 2026 with Yes at 91%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 74 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.3% on 23 Sep 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 15 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 84.2%; a month before, 86%. Its largest one-day move was 72 points down, to 15.5% on 15 Aug 2026.
Åsa Johansson is the favourite of the 9 outcomes in “Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?”, ahead of Sara Gunnarsson at 9.3%.
$27.21K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 3.7K shares; the largest No position is Contradict with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 1:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 91.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 3.74K |
| Contradict | No | 2.5K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.01K |
Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Värmland, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Värmland following the 2026 Swedish regional elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Värmland; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-regional-board-chair-of-varmland-20260810084516812
| whig | Yes | 859.22 |
| 2B9S | No | 764.42 |
| KickstandBot | No | 342 |
| fiter | No | 261.19 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 200 |
| Tukituki | Yes | 171.91 |
| Mithrandir. | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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