Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 6, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$120.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 6, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 6 Jun 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 13% on 3 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 3 May 2025 to 6 Jun 2025, the highest close was 13% on 3 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 6 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 6.5% on 4 May 2025. $120.2K traded over the market's life.

15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 8, 12:24 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 3 May 2025 – 6 Jun 2025, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
3 May 2025	13.0%
6 Jun 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	62.47K
HugeSilver	Yes	1.71K
ArbiTrader.Zim	Yes	549.99
Ivory Kestrel 75DF	Yes	198.99

10 of 15 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The 2025 Norway Chess tournament is scheduled to take place May 26, – Jun 6, 2025. You can read more about this event here: https://norwaychess.no/en/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arjun Erigaisi wins the 2025 Norway Chess tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this event is cancelled, or not completed by July 6, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official information from Chess.com, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.