- What is the “Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Apple release iPhone 17 by September 9? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 9, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- Apple announced a launch event for September 9, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/26/apple-announces-iphone-launch-on-sept-9-.html This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 17 by September 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 17, will qualify if it…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($88.51K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
