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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 680 | $0.220 | $149.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.12K |
| $0.180 |
| $201.6 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 515 | $0.220 | $113.3 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?Yes | buy | 282.53 | $0.860 | $242.98 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by November 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Abraham" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" 2+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 129.04 | $0.870 | $112.26 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.760 | $38.76 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.770 | $38.5 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.480 | $9.23 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.450 | $14.85 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?Yes | buy | 61 | $0.890 | $54.29 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?Yes | buy | 23.8 | $0.580 | $13.8 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.530 | $1.88 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.430 | $64.5 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.330 | $23.1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.300 | $48 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" 6+ times during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Yemen on September 13 ET?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.016 | $2.54 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Khaled Mashal public appearance by September 19?No | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Another Israel military action against Qatar by September 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?Yes | buy | 335.96 | $0.860 | $288.93 | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by September 30?Yes | buy | 295 | $0.070 | $20.65 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?Yes | sell | 260 | $0.037 | $9.56 | Sep 3, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?Yes | buy | 260 | $0.043 | $11.18 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 9.9K | $0.002 | $19.8 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 450 | $0.900 | $405 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?Yes | buy | 153.19 | $0.019 | $2.91 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.780 | $60 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?No | sell | 100 | $0.226 | $22.6 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | sell | 10 | $0.974 | $9.74 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.463 | $92.6 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran by Friday?No | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.998 | $89.82 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Major cyberattack on Iran in June?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iranian oil in June?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.190 | $8.55 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.119 | $5.95 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 78.59 | $0.254 | $20 | May 29, 2025 |