Analytics
Yes is at 67.5%, down 6.5 points from 74% when the market opened on 24 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 74% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 66.5% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 67.5% on 25 Oct 2026.
It is one of 12 markets under “AP calls the House by...?”.
$20.02 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $516.21 since listing. The order book holds $20.21K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 26 trades, $152.02 bought Yes and $62.44 bought No.
The largest Yes position is omsode with 91 shares; the largest No position is xtxpleasecallme with 91.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 7:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 60%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 67.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| omsode | Yes | 91 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 90.69 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 68 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Control of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count. Under condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market. Under condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt
| SmartBoyBilly |
| No |
| 40.04 |
| Flingflonger | No | 30 |
| Blushing-Zipper | Yes | 20 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 20 |
| bechamel | No | 20 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 12.72 |
| xixihaha009 | Yes | 9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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